Monday, October 15, 2007

Public Service Announcement

FYI - Rocktober mania has swayed the betting public and there is tremendous value on the Diamondbacks tonight.

The Backs are at +162, (which means if you bet $10, you'd win $16.20) and have Micah Owings going against Franklin Morales of the Rocks.

Owings was steady this season, 8-8, 4.30 ERA with a 1.28 WHIP, but he finished the season very strong. He went 15.1 innings in his last two starts, giving up just 6 hits and zero runs. He hasn't pitched since September 27th, so that's a big of a concern, but he was throwing very well in those last two games, and is just as good on the road as he his at home.

His opponent, Morales, is a rookie who only pitched in 8 games this season and never went more than 6 innings. He pitched in one game in the playoffs against the Phillies, and didn't make it out of the fourth, giving up 3 hits, 2 walks, and a homerun in three innings.

I know the Rockies are hot, and I know they are at home, but this +162 is way too heavily weighted towards them. The value here is tremendous.

2 comments:

Arf-Arf said...

WWWWWWW, how is that value treating you? You should have taken that money you bet and gone to McDonalds for a value meal. At least you would have something in your stomach other then a bunch in the gut.

Rocktober?????? WTF?

WWWWWW said...

It was still a good value bet at those odds. The game changed on a guy hitting a pop up that managed to get just far enough that nobody could reach it, and all momentum went to the Rockies side. Bad luck.

And please don't think I made up Rocktober.