Wednesday, March 26, 2008
Last, but not least, the Midwest Region. I also want to mention that the McDonalds all-star game is Wednesday night. I won't be able to watch it right off, but they're replaying it a bunch of times and I'll check it out and give my thoughts.
Kansas -11.5 vs. Villanova: Scottie Reynolds sucks and so does Villanova. That's been my opinion all season, and I'm sticking with it. Just because they managed to get passed Clemson and then lucked into a matchup with Siena doesn't change that fact. The other fact in play here, is that Kansas is the most talented team in this tournament. They are also one of the top defensive teams, and have no problem shutting down scoring point guards. In their two matchups against Texas, DJ Augustin, a much, much, much better player than Scottie Reynolds, shot a combined 8-31. I don't think you have to worry about the Jayhawk guards handling Reynolds. Add in the fact that Nova is not a particularly good defensive team, ranking 210th in the country in effective FG % against, while Kansas ranks 5th in offensive effective FG %, and you're looking at a rout from the get go.
Wisconsin -4.5 vs. Davidson: Of course I don't want Wisconsin to win, I hate those bastards. Not to mention Davidson is a fun team to watch, and Stephen Curry is completely ridiculous. It's just the Badgers are the best defensive team in the country, and if anybody can scheme to shut down Curry it's Bo Ryan.
The good news for Davidson fans and Badger haters is that Georgetown is a top 10 defensive team as well, and that didn't stop Curry from dropping 30 on them in that big second round win. The Wildcats showed they can play with a bigger, stronger, better defensive team, and that gives them hope that they can handle the Badgers on Friday.
There's hope, but it's slim, and I don't see it happening. Davidson will likely keep it tight for a while, but unless Curry can really get off, the superior size, defense, and fundamentals of the Badgers will carry them to both a win and a cover.